STEAM · LINE MOVES
16:15Bal
Anunoby PRA24.5 → 26.5+2.0
18:40Fan
Anunoby PRA26.5 → 24.5-2.0
15:31Har
Anunoby PTS18.5 → 17.5-1.0
15:31Har
Kornet REB1.5 → 2.5+1.0
15:31Har
Brunson AST5.5 → 6.5+1.0
15:31Har
Vassell PRA20.5 → 21.5+1.0
SLATE · JUN 13 · 1 GAME
The Board
66% holdout WR · +20.2% ROI52% legacy-3.9u legacy szn
NBA FINALS - GAME 5ABC
NYK @ SAS
94–90STATUSFinal
TIP5:30 PM PT
IMPLIED TOTALSSAS 111
LAST SEASON 231-121WON 65.6%$100 BECAME $456LIVE 52% -3.9u
TONIGHT'S TOP PICK · SAS vs NYK
Dylan
Harper
Harper
UNDER1.5THREES
DRAF -160
DRAF -160
Vegas hung his line at 1.5 threes, but he's stayed under it in 10 of his last 14 games. The number is set above what he actually does.
HIS LAST 14 GAMES · under 1.5 in 10
1.5
One qualifier tonight. The model only fires when a line sits well above the player's own median, so a short board is the discipline working, not a bug. The full slate fills as games return.
The Desk
line moves, injuries & model health for tonightINJURY REPORTESPN · 15:47
NYKJalen Brunson · wristQ
SASJayden Quaintance · kneeQ
SASCarter Bryant · not injury relatedQ
SASDavid Jones Garcia · ankleQ
GSWJimmy Butler III · kneeOUT
GSWMoses Moody · kneeOUT
INDJohnny Furphy · kneeOUT
LACNarcisse Ngoy · not injury relatedOUT
MEMRichie Saunders · kneeOUT
SHARP vs PUBLIC · GAME MKTSAN · 23:17
SPREAD AWY 5.5
59% $$
62% bets
SPREAD HOM -5.5
41% $$
38% bets
TOTAL O 215.5
86% $$
86% bets
TOTAL U 216.5
14% $$
14% bets
ML HOM
44% $$
66% bets
ML AWY$$ HEAVY
56% $$
34% bets
MODEL HEALTHgraded · 30d
Under model · held-out231-12166% WR · +20.2% ROI · the product
Legacy pipeline · not the under model
30d record119-10753% · -5.4u
Season189-17652% · -3.9u
units/day · last 14 graded · 3/26 → 6/13
BROADER52%226 picks · -6.4u
BOARD48%80 picks · +1.0u
ELITE44%39 picks · -7.0u
SNIPER73%22 picks · +8.6u
Build a Card
same-game parlays & floor playsPARLAY BUILDER · SGP + CROSSmodel-calibrated legs
SGPSAS2 legs · model cal%
Josh Hart BLK U 1.571%
Landry Shamet STL U 1.575%
CROSS2 legs · model cal%
Stephon Castle BLK U 1.571%
Josh Hart BLK U 1.571%
All Book Lines
every priced line across books · reference, not model picksALL 1233PM 10A+R 16AST 13BLK 8P+R 16PRA 15PTS 18REB 14STL 13
PLAYERSTATLINEODDSPROJEDGEL10 HIT
Miles McBridePTSOVER 2.5−1224.8+93.2%70%Miles McBrideP+ROVER 4−1105.9+46.8%60%Julian ChampagniePTSOVER 9.510013.7+44.4%60%Julian ChampagniePRAOVER 15.5−10821.8+40.7%60%Luke KornetP+ROVER 3.5−1044.9+38.9%70%Julian ChampagnieP+ROVER 14.5−10519.7+36.1%50%Landry ShametPTSOVER 6.5−1108.8+34.8%70%Julian ChampagnieA+ROVER 6−1108.1+34.8%70%Julian ChampagnieREBOVER 4.5−1216.0+33.7%70%Mikal BridgesASTOVER 2.5−1223.3+32.8%50%Jose AlvaradoPRAUNDER 9.5−2156.4-32.2%70%Miles McBridePRAOVER 5.51507.3+32.2%50%Luke KornetA+ROVER 2.5−1103.3+32.0%60%Dylan HarperREBOVER 5.5−1217.1+28.9%60%Devin VassellA+ROVER 7.5−1109.5+26.8%70%Landry ShametPRAOVER 9.5−10612.0+26.7%70%Julian Champagnie3PMOVER 2.51453.2+26.4%40%Landry ShametP+ROVER 8.5−10310.7+26.1%70%Devin VassellASTOVER 2.51123.2+26.1%60%Karl-Anthony TownsASTOVER 3.51054.4+25.9%60%Stephon CastleREBOVER 4.5−1225.6+25.1%80%Jose AlvaradoPTSUNDER 4.5−1333.5-23.1%70%Dylan HarperASTUNDER 3.5−1702.8-21.3%80%Mitchell RobinsonA+RUNDER 5.5−1104.3-21.0%40%Jordan ClarksonPTSUNDER 3.5−2302.8-20.5%50%Keldon JohnsonPTSOVER 6.5−1027.8+20.3%50%Mitchell RobinsonPRAUNDER 10.5−2308.5-19.5%60%Mikal BridgesA+ROVER 6−1107.1+18.7%50%Stephon CastlePTSOVER 16.510019.5+17.9%50%OG AnunobyPTSOVER 17.5−10420.6+17.6%50%Mitchell RobinsonPTSOVER 3.51034.1+17.4%70%Stephon CastleP+ROVER 21.5−10325.1+16.7%60%Stephon CastlePRAOVER 27.5−10431.6+15.0%60%OG AnunobyP+ROVER 22.5−12125.9+15.0%50%Victor Wembanyama3PMUNDER 2.5−2102.1-15.0%60%OG AnunobyPRAOVER 24.5−11328.1+14.6%50%Josh HartASTOVER 4.5−1195.1+14.2%60%Jalen BrunsonREBOVER 3.51324.0+14.2%60%De'Aaron FoxREBOVER 3.51114.0+13.4%70%Mikal BridgesP+ROVER 14.5−10416.4+13.3%70%Jalen BrunsonA+ROVER 9−11010.2+13.3%70%Mikal BridgesPRAOVER 17.5−10219.7+12.8%70%Devin VassellREBOVER 5.51236.2+12.4%50%Devin Vassell3PMOVER 2.51002.8+12.1%60%Karl-Anthony TownsPTSUNDER 16.5−12314.5-12.0%50%Keldon JohnsonPRAUNDER 12.5−20011.0-12.0%70%Dylan HarperA+ROVER 9−11010.0+11.4%30%Jalen BrunsonASTOVER 5.5−1536.1+11.0%70%Stephon CastleA+ROVER 11−11012.2+10.6%40%Mikal BridgesPTSOVER 11.5−11012.7+10.2%70%Jordan ClarksonP+ROVER 3.5−1103.9+10.1%70%Devin VassellPTSUNDER 14.5−12813.1-9.6%70%Jose AlvaradoP+RUNDER 5.5−1115.0-9.4%60%Keldon JohnsonA+RUNDER 3.5−1103.2-9.2%50%Josh HartA+ROVER 13−11014.2+8.9%60%Victor WembanyamaASTUNDER 3.5−1533.2-8.9%70%Mikal BridgesREBOVER 3.51153.8+8.6%50%Jalen BrunsonPTSUNDER 28.5−11026.2-8.2%40%Karl-Anthony TownsP+RUNDER 27.5−12225.4-7.5%60%Josh HartPTSUNDER 9.5−1178.8-7.4%40%OG AnunobyA+ROVER 7−1107.5+7.2%20%Keldon JohnsonP+ROVER 9.5−10410.2+7.1%40%Josh HartP+RUNDER 18.5−12217.2-7.0%40%Jalen BrunsonP+RUNDER 32.5−12530.3-6.8%40%De'Aaron FoxA+ROVER 10−11010.6+6.4%70%Josh HartREBOVER 8.5−1029.0+6.1%60%De'Aaron FoxPTSUNDER 15.5−11314.6-6.0%70%Mitchell RobinsonREBUNDER 4.5−1104.2-5.6%40%Jalen BrunsonPRAUNDER 38.5−11636.4-5.5%50%Karl-Anthony TownsPRAUNDER 31.5−11829.8-5.2%60%De'Aaron FoxP+RUNDER 19.5−12518.5-5.2%50%Josh HartPRAUNDER 23.5−12522.3-5.1%30%Dylan HarperP+ROVER 21.5−11622.5+4.7%40%Victor WembanyamaPTSOVER 28.5−10429.8+4.6%30%Karl-Anthony TownsREBUNDER 11.5−14211.1-3.9%40%Victor WembanyamaA+RUNDER 15−11014.5-3.6%90%Karl-Anthony TownsA+ROVER 15−11015.5+3.3%50%De'Aaron FoxPRAUNDER 25.5−12224.7-3.2%50%Dylan HarperPTSUNDER 15.5−11215.1-2.7%70%Dylan HarperPRAOVER 24.5−10425.1+2.5%40%Victor WembanyamaP+RUNDER 41.5−12541.1-1.1%100%Victor WembanyamaPRAUNDER 44.5−11344.2-0.7%80%Karl-Anthony TownsSTLOVER 0.5−1651.2+146.9%50%Miles McBrideA+ROVER 1−1102.4+143.9%70%Jalen BrunsonSTLOVER 0.5−1951.2+139.6%40%OG AnunobyBLKOVER 0.5−1581.2+137.4%70%Jordan ClarksonREBOVER 0.5−1051.1+116.6%80%Julian ChampagnieSTLOVER 0.5−1801.1+114.1%70%Miles McBrideREBOVER 0.5−1301.1+112.4%60%Stephon CastleSTLOVER 0.5−2100.9+89.9%80%Devin VassellSTLOVER 0.5−2150.9+84.2%60%Luke KornetREBOVER 1.5−1502.7+76.7%70%Keldon JohnsonASTOVER 0.5−1430.8+65.4%50%Keldon Johnson3PMOVER 0.5−1030.8+61.7%60%Julian ChampagnieBLKOVER 0.51400.8+56.2%50%OG AnunobyASTOVER 1.5−1132.3+52.9%60%Landry Shamet3PMOVER 1.5−1102.3+50.2%70%Luke KornetPTSOVER 1.5−1112.2+47.3%60%Landry ShametSTLUNDER 0.5−1480.3-43.6%70%Jordan ClarksonA+ROVER 1−1101.4+42.9%50%Julian ChampagnieASTOVER 1.51652.1+38.3%60%Josh HartBLKUNDER 0.5−4620.3-36.4%70%Mitchell RobinsonBLKUNDER 0.5−1330.3-36.1%60%Luke KornetSTLOVER 0.53340.7+35.7%50%Stephon CastleBLKUNDER 0.5−3270.3-34.2%70%Landry ShametBLKUNDER 0.5−7100.3-32.2%80%Luke KornetASTOVER 0.51300.6+29.7%30%Keldon JohnsonSTLOVER 0.51450.6+29.7%60%De'Aaron FoxBLKOVER 0.52680.6+29.3%50%Jordan ClarksonASTUNDER 0.5−2340.4-28.6%70%Landry ShametREBOVER 1.51401.9+27.9%50%Dylan Harper3PMUNDER 1.5−1601.1-27.2%70%Dylan HarperSTLOVER 0.5−1900.6+27.1%20%Miles McBrideBLKUNDER 0.5−16000.4-26.6%70%OG AnunobySTLUNDER 1.5−1681.1-24.6%70%Victor WembanyamaSTLUNDER 1.5−2201.1-24.2%50%De'Aaron Fox3PMUNDER 1.5−1591.2-22.3%60%Josh Hart3PMOVER 1.51401.8+19.8%40%Mikal Bridges3PMUNDER 1.5−1661.2-19.8%70%Mikal BridgesSTLUNDER 1.5−2901.2-18.7%50%Landry ShametASTUNDER 1.5−2901.3-16.6%60%Josh HartSTLOVER 1.51621.7+15.9%50%Jose Alvarado3PMUNDER 0.5−1060.4-15.4%60%